Nannicini: dal Pd proposte credibili e sostenibili, ecco i conti

By | febbraio 13, 2018

Nannicini: dal Pd proposte credibili e sostenibili, ecco i conti
Tommaso Nannicini

I partiti sono tutti uguali. È questo il ritornello che alcuni giornali vogliono far passare. In verità, la scelta è chiara. Lo è nel merito: assistenzialismo o dignità del lavoro; tagli delle tasse ai milionari o tagli delle tasse alle famiglie con figli e alle donne che lavorano; chiamarsi fuori dall’Europa o starci da protagonisti.
&nb sp;
E lo è nel metodo: promettere la luna o cercare di migliorare il pianeta terra con proposte credibili e sostenibili. È per questo che torno su alcuni numeri apparsi ieri su Repubblica: http://bit.ly/2EoTP1l.
 

56 miliardi: una cifra non è esorbitante rispetto alla fiera delle promesse a ruota libera

Roberto Perotti ha riportato proprie stime sui costi di finanza pubblica del programma del Partito democratico, per un totale – secondo l’autore – di 56 miliardi. La cifra non è esorbitante rispetto alla fiera delle promesse a ruota libera che altre forze politiche stanno facendo, ma è superiore alle nostre stime, che si collocano intorno a 35 miliardi per i prossimi 5 anni. Proprio perché per noi “buona politica” significa non prendere in giro gli elettori, chiarisco le differenze nelle stime.
 
Partiamo dalle differenze macroscopiche. Perotti stima in 12 miliardi il costo della riduzione strutturale del cuneo contributivo sul lavoro stabile. Ma, come scriviamo nel programma, la nostra proposta di riduzione di un punto di cuneo all’anno per 4 anni riguarda i contratti a tempo indeterminato a tutele crescenti (post Jobs act). Il costo della fiscalizzazione di un punto di cuneo per questi contratti è intorno a 290 milioni il primo anno e raggiunge 1,8 miliardi solo dopo 10 anni.
 
Un’altra differenza macroscopica riguarda il tema delle regole fiscali in Europa. È a dir poco curioso prevedere costi di finanza pubblica per proposte di riforma della governance economica europea, che peraltro riguarderebbero tutti i paesi e non solo l’Italia.
 
E l’emissione di Eurobond sotto la responsabilità di un Ministro delle finanze europeo equivarrebbe a individuare risorse sul mercato con un’emissione sovranazionale, a basso costo e presumibilmente con la tripla A, sul modello della Banca mondiale. Si creerebbe così un nuovo titolo di debito particolarmente sicuro e appetibile sul mercato. Al massimo la compartecipazione dei singoli stati riguarderebbe la spesa per interessi. Alcuni investimenti produttivi e sociali potrebbero così essere finanziati a costi più bassi liberando i bilanci nazionali. I 18 miliardi stimati per il cosiddetto “ritorno a Maastricht” semplicemente non esistono.
 
Ci sono poi differenze di stima più contenute sulle quali non mi dilungo, anche se – come si usa dire – è la somma che fa il totale. Per esempio, la stima di Perotti di 1,9 miliardi per gli 80 euro ai lavoratori autonomi presuppone che i destinatari di tale misura siano oltre 1,9 milioni, numero che però sembra comprendere non solo le persone fisiche ma tutti i soggetti Iva e quindi anche società ed enti, oltre a essere determinato con riferimento al volume d’affari, cosa ben diversa dal reddito.
 
L’universo di riferimento della nostra proposta è invece costituito dalle persone fisiche titolari di partite Iva, per un onere di 1,3 miliardi di euro. Per quanto riguarda il conto personale di formazione, la dote iniziale di 150 ore è assegnata all’inizio della vita lavorativa a ogni nuova coorte, per un costo totale di 870 milioni, a differenza dei 2 miliardi stimati da Perotti.
 
Ma veniamo alla nostra strategia di riduzione del debito al 100% del Pil in 10 anni. Rivendichiamo con orgoglio di essere l’unico partito che ha preso un impegno preciso con gli italiani su questo. La traiettoria che proponiamo non ha bisogno di dismissioni patrimoniali, che prevediamo in misura precauzionale e di graduale supporto.
 

Basta mantenere un avanzo primario al 2% del Pil

E non ha neanche bisogno di scenari macroeconomici da sogno: basta mantenere un avanzo primario al 2% del Pil, a fronte della crescita reale attuale (1,5%), di un’inflazione che torni al suo livello normale (quello scritto negli obiettivi Ue non nel programma Pd) e di un costo medio del debito che rimanga stabile, obiettivo che riteniamo realistico non solo per la struttura del nostro debito (la cui durata finanziaria si è allungata) ma anche perché con un governo impegnato a proseguire un percorso di riforme strutturali il rischio Paese rimarrebbe contenuto.
 
L’obiettivo dell’avanzo primario al 2% ci consentirebbe anche una politica moderatamente espansiva nei prossimi anni (pari ad almeno mezzo punto di Pil), in quanto il 2% rappresenta un obiettivo “meno austero” rispetto all’attuale quadro programmatico del Documento di economia e finanza. Insomma, vogliamo continuare a mettere i conti in ordine ma con una velocità più contenuta rispetto a oneri eccessivamente stringenti che ci eravamo assunti in passato.
 
È proprio da lì che arriva una parte delle coperture del nostro programma, continuando il “sentiero stretto” di politica economica seguito in questi anni, continuando cioè a ridurre il deficit nominale ma con una traiettoria più morbida per dare ulteriore ossigeno a famiglie e imprese.
 
Le restanti coperture arrivano dalla riforma dei processi di spesa nella Pa e dalla lotta all’evasione, continuando un percorso credibile di interventi già avviati e in base a una prudente proiezione di tendenze quantitative già in atto. Fatti, non parole o numeri sparati a caso come in altri programmi.
 
Anche in virtù della nostra riforma della legge di bilancio che permette di incamerare risparmi di spesa derivanti da misure attuate in via amministrativa. Quando si fa una legge di bilancio, non servono le coperture farlocche da associare a ogni voce di spesa, buone per vendere fumo in campagna elettorale, ma una strategia complessiva di aggiustamento fiscale.
 
Da questo punto di vista, è davvero sorprendente che nelle stime di oggi su Repubblica, rispetto al programma dei 5 stelle, si contabilizzino 20 miliardi di entrate per il cosiddetto piano Cottarelli e altri 20 miliardi per il taglio delle spese fiscali. Fantascienza allo stato puro.
 
PS: Commentatori indipendenti hanno fatto vedere come la nostra proposta di riforma fiscale a sostegno delle famiglie con figli avrebbe un impatto molto forte di riduzione della disuguaglianza e della povertà. I programmi si dovrebbero confrontare anche sulla base di questi indicatori, se non si vuole svilire l’indirizzo politico a mero esercizio ragionieristico. Per chi è interessato, ecco il link alle stime apparse su lavoce.info:
http://bit.ly/2HbhdkJ
 
Tommaso Nannicini
dal suo profilo Facebook

L’articolo Nannicini: dal Pd proposte credibili e sostenibili, ecco i conti proviene da Partito Democratico.

Source: Partito Democratico

86 thoughts on “Nannicini: dal Pd proposte credibili e sostenibili, ecco i conti

  1. look here

    I simply want to mention I’m new to blogging and site-building and actually liked you’re web page. Very likely I’m planning to bookmark your website . You definitely come with really good stories. Many thanks for sharing with us your webpage.

    Reply
  2. John Deere Repair Manuals

    This is a right weblog for anyone who really wants to learn about this topic. You realize so much its practically not easy to argue on hand (not that I personally would want…HaHa). You actually put a new spin using a topic thats been discussing for decades. Fantastic stuff, just great!

    Reply
  3. Faytech North America Resistive Touch Screen Monitor

    Faytech North America is a touch screen Manufacturer of both monitors and pcs. They specialize in the design, development, manufacturing and marketing of Capacitive touch screen, Resistive touch screen, Industrial touch screen, IP65 touch screen, touchscreen monitors and integrated touchscreen PCs. Contact them at http://www.faytech.us, 121 Varick Street, New York, NY 10013, +1 646 205 3214

    Reply
  4. Metroclick Kiosk

    MetroClick specializes in building completely interactive products like Photo Booth for rental or sale, Touch Screen Kiosks, Large Touch Screen Displays , Monitors, Digital Signages and experiences. With our own hardware production facility and in-house software development teams, we are able to achieve the highest level of customization and versatility for Photo Booths, Touch Screen Kiosks, Touch Screen Monitors and Digital Signage. Visit MetroClick at http://www.metroclick.com/ or , 121 Varick St, New York, NY 10013, +1 646-843-0888

    Reply
  5. http://www.homedesignrichmond.tk

    I was just looking for this information for a while. After 6 hours of continuous Googleing, finally I got it in your site. I wonder what is the lack of Google strategy that do not rank this type of informative web sites in top of the list. Usually the top web sites are full of garbage.

    Reply
  6. interior design

    Heya i’m for the first time here. I found this board and I find It truly useful & it helped me out a lot. I hope to give something back and help others like you helped me.

    Reply
  7. Automotive

    Thank you a bunch for sharing this with all people you actually recognize what you’re talking about! Bookmarked. Kindly also talk over with my site =). We will have a hyperlink trade agreement among us!

    Reply
  8. women's magazines

    Hello, you used to write fantastic, but the last several posts have been kinda boring¡K I miss your super writings. Past several posts are just a little bit out of track! come on!

    Reply
  9. law definition

    Hi, Neat post. There is a problem together with your website in internet explorer, would check this¡K IE still is the marketplace leader and a large section of other folks will pass over your excellent writing because of this problem.

    Reply
  10. financial calculator

    Excellent post. I was checking continuously this blog and I’m impressed! Extremely helpful info specifically the last part 🙂 I care for such info much. I was seeking this certain information for a very long time. Thank you and best of luck.

    Reply
  11. creative design

    Good write-up, I¡¦m normal visitor of one¡¦s website, maintain up the nice operate, and It’s going to be a regular visitor for a lengthy time.

    Reply
  12. Computer & Technology

    It is the best time to make some plans for the future and it is time to be happy. I have read this post and if I could I wish to suggest you few interesting things or tips. Perhaps you could write next articles referring to this article. I desire to read more things about it!

    Reply
  13. Web Design

    I really enjoy reading on this web site, it has fantastic blog posts. “And all the winds go sighing, For sweet things dying.” by Christina Georgina Rossetti.

    Reply
  14. Job & Career

    Thank you, I’ve just been searching for info about this subject for a while and yours is the best I have discovered till now. But, what in regards to the conclusion? Are you positive concerning the source?

    Reply
  15. Business

    I simply desired to appreciate you yet again. I’m not certain the things that I might have worked on without the hints revealed by you about such a topic. It was actually the depressing dilemma in my circumstances, but spending time with your well-written manner you handled it made me to leap over joy. I’m happy for the information and trust you realize what an amazing job you happen to be providing training people thru your blog. I am sure you have never met any of us.

    Reply
  16. Games

    What i do not realize is in fact how you’re no longer really a lot more smartly-favored than you might be now. You’re so intelligent. You already know thus considerably in terms of this matter, made me personally imagine it from so many various angles. Its like women and men aren’t interested unless it¡¦s one thing to do with Girl gaga! Your individual stuffs nice. Always care for it up!

    Reply
  17. Education & Science

    I¡¦ve learn a few good stuff here. Certainly worth bookmarking for revisiting. I wonder how much attempt you set to create this kind of wonderful informative web site.

    Reply
  18. News

    Just desire to say your article is as astonishing. The clarity in your post is just spectacular and i can assume you’re an expert on this subject. Fine with your permission let me to grab your feed to keep up to date with forthcoming post. Thanks a million and please keep up the rewarding work.

    Reply
  19. House & Home Improvement

    Someone essentially lend a hand to make critically articles I’d state. That is the first time I frequented your web page and up to now? I surprised with the research you made to make this actual put up incredible. Fantastic task!

    Reply
  20. Computer & Technology

    Hello There. I found your blog using msn. This is a very well written article. I will make sure to bookmark it and come back to read more of your useful info. Thanks for the post. I will certainly return.

    Reply
  21. buying time

    I wanted to compose you the very small remark to help thank you very much once again on the pleasant tactics you have discussed on this site. This has been certainly remarkably open-handed of people like you to deliver unreservedly what exactly a few people could have sold for an e book to help make some cash for their own end, principally given that you might have done it if you ever wanted. The advice as well worked to be the great way to know that the rest have the same dream much like mine to find out whole lot more in respect of this condition. I’m sure there are thousands of more enjoyable opportunities ahead for individuals who scan through your blog post.

    Reply
  22. Travel & Leisure

    We are a group of volunteers and opening a new scheme in our community. Your website provided us with valuable information to work on. You have done a formidable job and our entire community will be grateful to you.

    Reply
  23. Business & Finance

    You made some clear points there. I looked on the internet for the subject matter and found most individuals will go along with with your website.

    Reply
  24. diet pills

    Excellent read, I just passed this onto a colleague who was doing a little research on that. And he actually bought me lunch because I found it for him smile Therefore let me rephrase that: Thanks for lunch!

    Reply
  25. free games

    Great tremendous issues here. I¡¦m very glad to peer your article. Thanks so much and i’m taking a look forward to contact you. Will you please drop me a mail?

    Reply
  26. Business & Finance

    I have been surfing online more than three hours today, yet I never found any interesting article like yours. It’s pretty worth enough for me. Personally, if all site owners and bloggers made good content as you did, the net will be a lot more useful than ever before.

    Reply
  27. business & finance

    whoah this blog is wonderful i really like studying your articles. Stay up the good paintings! You realize, a lot of individuals are searching round for this info, you can aid them greatly.

    Reply
  28. News

    Good – I should certainly pronounce, impressed with your website. I had no trouble navigating through all tabs as well as related information ended up being truly simple to do to access. I recently found what I hoped for before you know it at all. Reasonably unusual. Is likely to appreciate it for those who add forums or something, web site theme . a tones way for your customer to communicate. Nice task.

    Reply
  29. Technology & Computer

    Hello There. I found your blog using msn. This is an extremely well written article. I will be sure to bookmark it and come back to read more of your useful info. Thanks for the post. I will definitely return.

    Reply
  30. adindahotel.com

    We’re a group of volunteers and starting a new scheme in our community. Your website offered us with valuable information to work on. You have done a formidable job and our whole community will be thankful to you.

    Reply
  31. Healthy

    I am no longer positive the place you’re getting your info, however great topic. I needs to spend some time finding out much more or figuring out more. Thanks for magnificent info I was on the lookout for this information for my mission.

    Reply
  32. dating

    Hello there, You’ve done an excellent job. I will certainly digg it and personally suggest to my friends. I’m sure they will be benefited from this web site.

    Reply
  33. internet marketing

    Thanks a lot for providing individuals with an extraordinarily superb possiblity to check tips from here. It is often so superb and as well , packed with a great time for me and my office colleagues to search your blog more than three times every week to read through the fresh secrets you have. And indeed, I am just certainly pleased concerning the tremendous solutions you serve. Selected 2 tips in this post are unequivocally the finest I’ve had.

    Reply
  34. Computer & Technology

    hey there and thank you for your info – I’ve certainly picked up something new from right here. I did however expertise some technical points using this website, since I experienced to reload the web site lots of times previous to I could get it to load correctly. I had been wondering if your web hosting is OK? Not that I’m complaining, but sluggish loading instances times will sometimes affect your placement in google and could damage your high quality score if ads and marketing with Adwords. Well I’m adding this RSS to my email and could look out for a lot more of your respective fascinating content. Ensure that you update this again very soon..

    Reply
  35. garden tools

    My brother suggested I might like this website. He was totally right. This post actually made my day. You cann’t imagine just how much time I had spent for this information! Thanks!

    Reply
  36. health and fitness

    Great goods from you, man. I have understand your stuff previous to and you are just too excellent. I really like what you’ve acquired here, certainly like what you’re saying and the way in which you say it. You make it entertaining and you still take care of to keep it wise. I cant wait to read much more from you. This is actually a wonderful web site.

    Reply
  37. vitamins

    Hi, i think that i saw you visited my site thus i came to “return the favor”.I am trying to find things to enhance my site!I suppose its ok to use a few of your ideas!!

    Reply
  38. free money

    I just wanted to send a simple comment to thank you for some of the remarkable tactics you are placing at this site. My considerable internet investigation has finally been compensated with beneficial information to exchange with my friends and family. I ‘d say that most of us website visitors are undeniably endowed to live in a remarkable website with many outstanding individuals with interesting tips and hints. I feel very much privileged to have seen the site and look forward to some more amazing moments reading here. Thanks again for all the details.

    Reply
  39. degree

    Thank you for the auspicious writeup. It in fact was a amusement account it. Look advanced to more added agreeable from you! By the way, how can we communicate?

    Reply
  40. Fashion

    I think other web site proprietors should take this site as an model, very clean and fantastic user friendly style and design, as well as the content. You are an expert in this topic!

    Reply
  41. Sports

    I think this is one of the most vital info for me. And i am glad reading your article. But want to remark on few general things, The site style is ideal, the articles is really great : D. Good job, cheers

    Reply
  42. House and Home Improvement

    I’m extremely impressed with your writing skills as well as with the layout on your blog. Is this a paid theme or did you customize it yourself? Anyway keep up the nice quality writing, it is rare to see a nice blog like this one today..

    Reply
  43. Web Design

    Heya i am for the first time here. I found this board and I find It really useful & it helped me out much. I hope to give something back and help others like you helped me.

    Reply
  44. Health

    you’re in reality a just right webmaster. The website loading velocity is amazing. It seems that you are doing any unique trick. Moreover, The contents are masterpiece. you have performed a great task on this topic!

    Reply
  45. Travel

    hi!,I really like your writing very a lot! proportion we communicate more approximately your post on AOL? I require a specialist in this space to resolve my problem. Maybe that’s you! Having a look forward to look you.

    Reply
  46. Travel

    I really like your writing style, great information, thank you for posting :D. “God save me from my friends. I can protect myself from my enemies.” by Claude Louis Hector de Villars.

    Reply
  47. cheap flight tickets

    Usually I don’t read article on blogs, but I would like to say that this write-up very compelled me to try and do so! Your writing taste has been surprised me. Thank you, quite great post.

    Reply
  48. News

    I am not sure where you are getting your info, but good topic. I needs to spend some time learning much more or understanding more. Thanks for great info I was looking for this info for my mission.

    Reply
  49. Fashion

    I like this post, enjoyed this one thank you for putting up. “The reward for conformity was that everyone liked you except yourself.” by Rita Mae Brown.

    Reply
  50. News

    Thanks, I have recently been searching for info approximately this topic for a long time and yours is the best I have discovered so far. But, what concerning the bottom line? Are you certain concerning the source?

    Reply
  51. News

    Very great info can be found on web site. “The only thing you take with you when you’re gone is what you leave behind.” by John Allston.

    Reply
  52. Web Design

    Hello my friend! I wish to say that this article is amazing, great written and come with approximately all significant infos. I’d like to look extra posts like this.

    Reply
  53. automotive industry

    Its like you read my mind! You seem to know so much about this, like you wrote the book in it or something. I think that you can do with some pics to drive the message home a bit, but other than that, this is fantastic blog. A great read. I will definitely be back.

    Reply
  54. development

    magnificent points altogether, you simply received a logo new reader. What may you recommend about your submit that you simply made a few days ago? Any certain?

    Reply
  55. Home Improvement

    Hello, you used to write excellent, but the last several posts have been kinda boring… I miss your great writings. Past few posts are just a little out of track! come on!

    Reply
  56. Science

    You completed various good points there. I did a search on the subject matter and found nearly all folks will agree with your blog.

    Reply
  57. book flight and hotel

    Hello my family member! I wish to say that this article is awesome, great written and include almost all significant infos. I would like to see more posts like this .

    Reply
  58. business intelligence

    I have been browsing on-line more than three hours today, but I by no means found any attention-grabbing article like yours. It is pretty value enough for me. In my view, if all site owners and bloggers made excellent content as you probably did, the web might be a lot more helpful than ever before.

    Reply
  59. business intelligence

    You could certainly see your skills within the work you write. The world hopes for even more passionate writers such as you who aren’t afraid to mention how they believe. At all times go after your heart.

    Reply
  60. business service

    I needed to draft you the very little note just to say thanks over again with the precious techniques you have featured above. This has been strangely generous of people like you in giving extensively exactly what a few individuals might have supplied as an ebook to generate some bucks for themselves, specifically since you might have done it if you ever considered necessary. Those tactics also worked to become fantastic way to be sure that most people have similar passion much like my very own to realize lots more when it comes to this issue. I believe there are numerous more enjoyable opportunities up front for many who go through your site.

    Reply
  61. the concept of modern art

    I¡¦ll immediately seize your rss as I can not find your email subscription hyperlink or e-newsletter service. Do you have any? Kindly let me know in order that I may subscribe. Thanks.

    Reply
  62. shoes

    you’re really a just right webmaster. The web site loading pace is incredible. It seems that you’re doing any unique trick. Furthermore, The contents are masterwork. you’ve performed a fantastic job on this topic!

    Reply
  63. Technology

    I want to point out my affection for your kindness for women who absolutely need guidance on the idea. Your personal dedication to getting the solution throughout ended up being quite good and have usually permitted guys much like me to arrive at their objectives. Your new valuable facts indicates a lot to me and a whole lot more to my office workers. Thanks a lot; from everyone of us.

    Reply
  64. look at here now

    I just want to mention I am all new to blogging and site-building and honestly enjoyed this web site. More than likely I’m going to bookmark your website . You really have exceptional article content. Bless you for sharing with us your webpage.

    Reply
  65. John Deere Technical Manuals

    If this new football wants to succeed and grow a loyal following fast, they should follow the blueprint that has worked well for “sports” like golf, auto racing, and boxing, all of which have enjoyed recent swells in popularity. Here is what they did:

    Reply
  66. puppies for sale

    Hello There. I found your blog using msn. This is a really well written article. I’ll be sure to bookmark it and come back to read more of your useful info. Thanks for the post. I’ll definitely comeback.

    Reply
  67. John Deere Diagnostic and Test Manuals

    I wanted to produce you this tiny remark so as to give numerous thanks when once again contemplating the spectacular suggestions you’ve discussed at this time. It was very strangely open-handed of you to supply unhampered specifically what a whole lot of folks could possibly have marketed for an electronic book in creating some money for themselves, most importantly because you may well have tried it in the event you decided. Those fundamentals furthermore served to present a great method to totally grasp some folks have the very same keenness considerably like my very own to see a whole lot a lot more on the subject of this condition. I think you will find many far more enjoyable opportunities ahead for individuals who looked over your site.

    Reply
  68. Ekspress Kurye

    Kurye olarak hizmet veren kişiler, bulundukları lokasyondaki her adrese en kısa sürede ulaşma yolunu bilirler. Üstelik verilen bu görevi hava, trafik ve buna benzer diğer olumsuz şartlardan etkilenmeden yerine getirirler. Yani iş hayatı başta olmak üzere hayatın hemen her alanında önemli görevleri üstlenebilir ve başarıyla yerine getirebilirler. Özellikle büyük şehirlerdeki trafik kaosu ve adres konusundaki karmaşa göze alınırsa, kurye hizmetlerinden faydalanmanın bazı durumlarda zorunlu hale geleceği anlaşılabilir. Örneğin İstanbul’un bir noktasından diğer bir noktasına acil şekilde önemli bir evrak ulaştırmak gerektiğinde ya da hastanızın ihtiyacı olan ilacı acil ve güvenli bir şekilde ulaştırmak gerektiğinde, İstanbul moto kurye hizmetimizden faydalanarak sorununuza çözüm üretebilirsiniz.

    Reply

Lascia un commento

Il tuo indirizzo email non sarà pubblicato. I campi obbligatori sono contrassegnati *